Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.203278 1.359953 1.531176 1.732485 1.963069 2.219376 2.526470
2025-12-21 0.939960 1.140675 1.377621 1.679126 2.054210 2.507572 3.100246
2025-12-28 0.818652 1.052854 1.347416 1.747724 2.281591 2.974676 3.951735
2026-01-04 0.724550 0.977992 1.314116 1.797055 2.480587 3.424513 4.846020
2026-01-11 0.649770 0.914175 1.281224 1.834743 2.660115 3.863980 5.787344
2026-01-18 0.586450 0.855558 1.244428 1.856526 2.812740 4.277807 6.747701
2026-01-25 0.521901 0.785803 1.180748 1.826287 2.877197 4.559659 7.536694
2026-02-01 0.457063 0.707350 1.093561 1.746083 2.847815 4.681982 8.071512
2026-02-08 0.409539 0.650251 1.032469 1.698683 2.863003 4.874860 8.750841
2026-02-15 0.371016 0.603293 0.982091 1.661913 2.889276 5.086224 9.490471
2026-02-22 0.354288 0.590354 0.986049 1.717980 3.084859 5.623504 10.930430
2026-03-01 0.334198 0.569483 0.973936 1.743210 3.225575 6.075092 12.270859
2026-03-08 0.306849 0.534460 0.935516 1.719582 3.278111 6.378522 13.391121
2026-03-15 0.278639 0.495328 0.886053 1.669864 3.274163 6.570981 14.313791
2026-03-22 0.269233 0.489616 0.897387 1.739411 3.520739 7.318784 16.630741
2026-03-29 0.258018 0.479318 0.898825 1.789057 3.732292 8.023766 18.989294
2026-04-05 0.246367 0.466974 0.894868 1.826798 3.922896 8.711052 21.445001
2026-04-12 0.234023 0.452034 0.884121 1.848576 4.080411 9.345790 23.897755
2026-04-19 0.217670 0.427514 0.851432 1.818518 4.113932 9.688176 25.637335
2026-04-26 0.198254 0.395024 0.799150 1.738701 4.018597 9.697019 26.447656
2026-05-03 0.183547 0.371116 0.762887 1.691525 3.996656 9.889648 27.831785
2026-05-10 0.171036 0.350819 0.732583 1.654926 3.996358 10.139114 29.441286
2026-05-17 0.166899 0.348175 0.740701 1.710737 4.239865 11.083631 33.420605